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Glassnode发推表示，比特币仍在适应新的价格区间，链上和合约市场的流动性条件也在收缩。比特币长期持有者并不活跃，进一步加强了市场疲软和价格横盘的走势。
The Bitcoin profitability stress ratio, which measures the relative size of lossmaking supply and reflects market stress, has now reached 0.23, its highest level since last September, according to Glassnode. Glassnode points out that historically, a level above 0.2 usually marks a period of heightened market stress. If the value continues to rise, it could signal a further increase in market stress, potentially reinforcing a broader shift in market sentiment.
据 Glassnode 数据，比特币盈利压力比率（Bitcoin profitability stress ratio）目前已达到 0.23，为去年 9 月以来的最高水平。该指标用于衡量处于亏损状态的供应量相对大小，反映市场压力情况。 Glassnode 指出，从历史数据来看，该指标超过 0.2 的水平通常标志着市场压力加剧的时期。如果该值继续上升，可能预示着市场压力进一步增加，潜在地强化更广泛的市场情绪转变。
On February 28th, according to GlassNode's analysis, if the current market correction deepens, ETH may fall to $1,890, which is about 10% lower than the current price. The analysis shows that there is the largest accumulation below the $1,890 price, with about 1.82 million ETH. These tokens were mainly bought in August 2023, indicating the existence of a group of cyclical investors with strong beliefs.
2月28日消息，据GlassNode分析，如果当前市场调整加深，ETH可能跌至1890美元，较当前价格下跌约10%。分析显示，1890美元价位下方存在最大积累，约有182万枚ETH。这些代币主要在2023年8月被买入，表明存在一群具有坚定信念的周期性投资者。通过对ETH成本基础分...
"There has been a strong build-up in the $96,000 to $98,000 area between late December 2024 and February 2025," Glassnode said in a post on the X platform. "While some addresses within these price ranges are reallocating their BTC, this supply cluster is still very dense and could be a strong resistance if it returns to this level again."
Glassnode 在 X 平台发文表示，“2024 年 12 月底至 2025 年 2 月期间，96,000 美元至 98,000 美元区域出现了强劲的积累。虽然这些价格区间内的一些地址正在重新分配其 BTC，但这个供应集群仍然非常密集，如果再次回到这个水平，可能会成为强有力的阻力位。”
Glassnode 在 X 平台发文表示，“比特币短期持有者（STH）实现的亏损昨日升至 2340 万美元，创下过去三个月以来的最大增幅之一。作为对比，之前的高峰分别为 2 月 3 日的 3800 万美元和去年 12 月 20 日的 2500 万美元。”
According to Glassnode's analysis, Bitcoin's 1-week actual volatility and 1-week option implied volatility (IV) are approaching multi-year lows, with similar IVs appearing in early 2023 and early 2024.
Negentropic, co-founder of Glassnode, wrote that bitcoin volatility was low and prices were stable on Monday due to the market closure for the US Presidents Day holiday. However, he cautioned investors to watch the movement of the risk index, which shows that the risk of a potential price correction is rising. Key price concerns are $92,000 and $94,000.
Glassnode 联合创始人 Negentropic 发文称，由于美国总统日假期市场休市，本周一比特币波动性较低，价格保持平稳。但他提醒投资者关注风险指数走势，该指标显示潜在价格回调风险正在上升。关键价格关注位为 92,000 美元和 94,000 美元。
According to the latest research report from Glassnode, the current bitcoin bull market shows several structural similarities to the 2015-2018 cycle. The data shows that the real market capitalization (Realized Cap) of the current cycle has increased by 2.1 times, down from the peak of 5.7 times in the previous cycle.
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